Record Low Fixed Rates
Average 30-year fixed rate 4.78%
Nov. 25, 2009
By SAM GARCIA
Fixed mortgage rates fell to the lowest level on record. But don't expect them to stay there.In Freddie Mac's survey of 125 thrifts, credit unions, commercial banks and mortgage lenders for the week ended today, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 4.78%, falling from 4.83% six days earlier. The 30-year was 5.97% one year earlier.The 30-year matched the record 4.78% set on April 30, Freddie noted.The average 15-year fixed-rate mortgage declined 3 basis points from the record set last week to 4.29%. The new record is based on Freddie's data going back to 1991.It was the fourth consecutive week of declines for fixed rates, Freddie' Chief Economist Frank Nothaft said in the statement.A benchmark for mortgage rates, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond, was 3.342% today, according to WSJ.com. Seven days ago, the 10-year yield closed at 3.36%, U.S. Department of the Treasury data indicate -- suggesting rates might turn higher next week.The 100 panelists surveyed by Bankrate.com for the week Nov. 25 to Dec. 3 overwhelmingly agreed rates will rise -- with 80 predicting at least a 3 basis point increase over the next 35 to 45 days. The rest were evenly split over whether rates will fall or stagnate.The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 4.18% in Freddie's survey, falling from 4.25% last week.But the one-year Treasury-indexed ARM was unchanged at 4.35% -- though still its lowest level since July 7, 2005, when it stood at 4.33%. The one-year ARM averaged 5.18% during this week in 2008.The index used on the one-year ARM, the yield on the one-year Treasury bill, closed at 0.28% yesterday, lower than 0.32% the prior week, the Treasury reported. Another ARM index, the six-month London Interbank Offered Rate, fell to 0.49% yesterday from 0.51% the previous week.ARMs accounted for 5.3% of applications tracked in the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended Nov. 20, up from 5.1% the prior week.MBA said overall applications fell 5% on a seasonally adjusted basis from the prior week. The drop was the result of a 10% decline in refinance applications, which represented 72% percent of all applications -- down from three-quarters the week before.Purchase applications rose 5% from MBA's previous survey.
Friday's bond market opened flat with no relevant economic news being posted today. The stock markets are showing losses with the Dow down 40 points and the Nasdaq down 14 points. The bond market is currently down 2/32, which should keep this morning's mortgage rates at yesterday's levels.The stock markets appear prepared to close the week in negative ground. This should be good news for bonds heading into next week. Since there is no relevant data scheduled for release today, any changes to mortgage rates this afternoon will likely come from sizable move in stocks. If the major stock indexes continuer to move lower, there is a possibility of seeing downward revisions to mortgage rates this afternoon. There are a couple of important reports scheduled for release next week. There is relevant data being posted Monday when the National Association of Realtors gives us October's home resale figures. It is expected to show an increase in sales f rom September's level, meaning the housing sector improved over the past month. However, this data is not considered to be highly important, so it will likely take a sizable variance from forecasts to cause a noticeable move in mortgage rates.Next week is a holiday-shortened week due to Thanksgiving Day, meaning all of the week's data will likely be released the first three days of the week. Look for more details on next week's events in Sunday's weekly preview.If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Dear Steve,
You did it. You’ve succeeded in achieving a huge victory for real estate. Congress heard you on the need to both extend and expand the homebuyer tax credit to continue stimulating the housing sector of the economy. The Senate voted 98-0 on Wednesday and yesterday the House voted 403-12 on legislation that includes the extension and expansion of the credit. The President is expected to sign the legislation, perhaps as early as today.
Thank you for making this victory happen. Your letters in response to our Call for Action made a very big difference, as did the thousands of REALTOR® phone calls, visits by Federal Political Coordinators—all members of NAR—in getting this legislation passed. This is a great victory for the economy, for homebuyers, and for all of you in real estate. You made your case to Congress. We deeply appreciate your commitment and involvement on this issue and trust your continued support will follow in the weeks ahead on all our future Calls for Action.
More information on the tax credit and what it means to you:
Changes to the Homebuyer Tax Credit Law Frequently Asked Questions About the New Bill Listen to NAR President Charles McMillan's Podcast About the Bill Passing See How the House Voted In Depth: 2009 First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit Watch the Entries in the Tax Credit REALTOR® Party Video Contest
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